ZiPS playoff odds, Midseason update of team probabilities

Special to cheap mlb jerseys CloseCreator of ZiPS projection systemFounDe r of Baseball Think FactoryContributed to ESPN since 2010Follow on wholesale mlb pullover jerseysPinterestEmailcomment

All-Star week is baseball’s carnival, a sudDe n respite from the pennant race, full of events and a casual atmosphere. But baseball pLa yers get back to work today, some of them after a week of cHill ing in San Diego. And the hard work begins immediately, because with just over two Weeks until the traDe De adline, this is the La st chance for teams to carve out a serious role in the pennant race before the big De cisions that will need to be maDe before July 31.

So to kick off the start of baseball’s second half, I ran the updated ZiPS projections (a million times) for the rest of the 2016 season. These will obviously look different than the preseason standings, and they should; it’s best to think of projections not as something etched in stone, but gently in chalk as expectations run square into reality.

So with that, let’s look at the ZiPS projected standings and division title/pLa yoff percentages, as well as the chances a team will end up with the No. 1 pick in the 2017 draft.

AL EastTeamWLGBPCTDIV%WC%PLa YOFF%WS WIN%#1 PICKBaltimore Orioles china mlb batting practice jerseys

Coming into the season, it was reasonable to expect a scenario for each of the five teams that would result in a divisional title. Only three of the teams are still in the midst of creating those scenaRios , and the Orioles , Blue Jay s and Red Sox are all very close from a probability standpoint as the only division with three teams that have a 20 percent shot of the title (only one other division has two cheap mlb sweatshirts).

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