Under Spreads and Line Projections

Monday Night Football to finish off Week 10 featured perhaps the biggest upset of the week, as the Cincinnati Bengals sometimes listed as 13 point favorites took a dive at home to the Houston Texans. Watt defense didn’t make loads of sense.

It’s another lesson for bettors in the cheap nfl jerseys
hard work pays off category ahead of Week 11, where tough divisional battles and more line the slate. Here’s a look at the odds breakdown for each with predictions.

NFL Week 11 OddsOdds courtesy of Odds Shark.

Early Odds to Bet

Washington at Carolina ( 8.5)

Here’s a line to jump all over before it moves too much.

The world seems gassed up over Washington after the team’s Week 10 thumping of the New Orleans Saints in 47 14 fashion. There, quarterback Kirk Cousins exploded with four touchdowns on 20 completions.

The thing is, it would have been more strange if Cousins hadn’t posted such a major line. New Orleans is the worst defense against quarterbacks by a mile, and in the weeks before, it had allowed four and six touchdowns in its last two games.

The Carolina Panthers have allowed two or more touchdowns in a game by a quarterback just three times. Aaron Rodgers is the only quarterback to throw for more than two scores against the unit.

So no, betting the under here doesn’t make much sense. Washington has three major blowouts on record this year, while Cam Newton and the Panthers remain undefeated. Newton looks like an MVP candidate with 21 total touchdowns, and last week was an anomaly for the Washington defense, not the norm. Look for the home team, the more complete team, to win big.

Prediction: Panthers 24, Washington 14

Denver ( 1.5) at Chicago

This line might be even now, but it’s not hard to see which way it’s trending after opening at having the Denver Broncos favored by 1.5 points.

The reason the 4 5 Chicago Bears might be the favorite here against the 7 2 Broncos? Denver coach Gary Kubiak made the decision to sit Peyton Manning for this one. “That Brock is going to play this week and that all of our full attention is going to be to getting Peyton back and healthy. That decision has been made.”

This sounds terrible for the Broncos, right?

Maybe not. Manning has been miserable all season, completing less than 60 percent of his passes with nine touchdowns to 17 interceptions. He tossed four interceptions before getting benched last weekend.

At the least, Brock Osweiler came in last week and threw for 146 yards with a score and a pick. The Chicago defense has already let up 23 or more points five times this year, so the backup can do some damage against the unit.

Try not to forget, either, that it’s an elite defense that has propped Manning up this season. The injured unit struggled last weekend in a loss, but prior to that defeat, it was ranked No. 1 against the pass, allowing just 277.3 yards per game, and also ranked among the top 10 teams against the rush.

Said defense won’t have problems containing an up and down Chicago offense and pulling off what some might consider an upset.


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